Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.834136e-01 0.219558 0.258421 0.303043 0.352588 0.405655 0.466529
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.268167e-01 0.172944 0.226649 0.292681 0.370593 0.458568 0.564377
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.303082e-02 0.144459 0.209059 0.293495 0.398348 0.521858 0.675898
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.581216e-02 0.117821 0.188569 0.286760 0.414642 0.571069 0.772361
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.422104e-02 0.093252 0.166030 0.273432 0.419935 0.605562 0.851279
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.335020e-02 0.081702 0.159132 0.279265 0.449148 0.670175 0.968878
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.274711e-02 0.067156 0.144922 0.272446 0.459801 0.710290 1.055931
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.826694e-02 0.062507 0.145340 0.286598 0.499595 0.789558 1.195127
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.294762e-02 0.053956 0.137507 0.286815 0.518820 0.841171 1.298892
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.075985e-03 0.046885 0.130836 0.287750 0.538460 0.893302 1.403977
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.813365e-03 0.042896 0.129159 0.296409 0.569582 0.961798 1.532094
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.132986e-03 0.039657 0.128310 0.306102 0.602300 1.033001 1.664916
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.742022e-03 0.036528 0.127357 0.315860 0.636109 1.107572 1.805319
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.133235e-03 0.030605 0.118879 0.311093 0.646468 1.148422 1.899867
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.314595e-03 0.027252 0.115642 0.315576 0.671638 1.211244 2.026002
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.088211e-04 0.022656 0.108020 0.310696 0.680893 1.250483 2.119406
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.689431e-04 0.017524 0.097161 0.297924 0.675865 1.267761 2.181491
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 6.616246e-05 0.015866 0.096009 0.304910 0.704633 1.336550 2.318161
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.848591e-06 0.012697 0.088834 0.298158 0.708943 1.367742 2.400812
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.815912e-07 0.012419 0.091618 0.313495 0.752726 1.460600 2.574171
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.010580 0.087971 0.313912 0.769661 1.511849 2.687318
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.009039 0.084805 0.315019 0.787688 1.564948 2.803684
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.008372 0.085103 0.324293 0.820884 1.642430 2.956814